Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.601085 2.730371 2.865660 3.018333 3.186502 3.366863 3.575972
2025-11-23 2.401092 2.584156 2.784907 3.023471 3.302081 3.620864 4.018811
2025-11-30 2.260302 2.480255 2.730576 3.041015 3.422363 3.885184 4.505854
2025-12-07 2.126990 2.368312 2.650862 3.013296 3.477399 4.069943 4.918201
2025-12-14 1.993670 2.243386 2.541889 2.934584 3.453824 4.144247 5.188525
2025-12-21 1.920587 2.184283 2.506239 2.941103 3.536206 4.363999 5.698985
2025-12-28 1.877914 2.158331 2.508010 2.993201 3.681582 4.687411 6.434143
2026-01-04 1.803185 2.086668 2.445104 2.951473 3.687891 4.802089 6.846986
2026-01-11 1.759209 2.051337 2.426488 2.967446 3.777149 5.054582 7.568473
2026-01-18 1.728196 2.030586 2.425049 3.005949 3.902141 5.381879 8.538295
2026-01-25 1.677183 1.980670 2.380746 2.978401 3.920010 5.526249 9.168248
2026-02-01 1.625750 1.927849 2.329520 2.936674 3.910208 5.617955 9.708252
2026-02-08 1.571584 1.872149 2.275614 2.893635 3.904707 5.737281 10.432455
2026-02-15 1.529835 1.831967 2.242017 2.879912 3.948639 5.964511 11.600612
2026-02-22 1.497203 1.802902 2.222706 2.886832 4.029229 6.284743 13.310670
2026-03-01 1.456251 1.760606 2.182129 2.857193 4.041377 6.462726 14.713157
2026-03-08 1.405607 1.702976 2.116687 2.783602 3.965976 6.430960 15.283554
2026-03-15 1.380090 1.679642 2.100444 2.788494 4.037077 6.756065 17.843136
2026-03-22 1.367407 1.673786 2.109530 2.835217 4.193239 7.333273 22.957646
2026-03-29 1.333633 1.636564 2.069762 2.797141 4.177470 7.460272 25.620340
2026-04-05 1.315025 1.620465 2.061218 2.811497 4.269450 7.912132 32.791764
2026-04-12 1.302405 1.612484 2.064552 2.846313 4.408283 8.553692 47.563601
2026-04-19 1.276410 1.584108 2.035076 2.821331 4.415480 8.788274 60.035667